总统演讲:经济和金融中的社会传导偏差

D. Hirshleifer
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引用次数: 93

摘要

我讨论了一种新的智力范式,社会经济学和金融学——研究塑造经济思维和行为的社会过程。这一新兴领域承认人们相互观察和交谈。社会经济学和金融学的一个关键的、未被充分利用的组成部分是社会传递偏差:由社会交易引起的信号或观念的系统性方向性转变。我用五个“表”(模型)来说明传递偏差方法的新颖性和范围,并提供了几个紧急主题。例如,社会传递偏差递归地复合,这可以帮助解释繁荣、泡沫、回报异常和经济情绪波动。
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Presidential Address: Social Transmission Bias in Economics and Finance
I discuss a new intellectual paradigm, social economics and finance—the study of the social processes that shape economic thinking and behavior. This emerging field recognizes that people observe and talk to each other. A key, underexploited building block of social economics and finance is social transmission bias: systematic directional shift in signals or ideas induced by social transactions. I use five “fables” (models) to illustrate the novelty and scope of the transmission bias approach, and offer several emergent themes. For example, social transmission bias compounds recursively, which can help explain booms, bubbles, return anomalies, and swings in economic sentiment.
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