波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那当代地理人口特征的政治-地理决定因素,特别强调领土人口分布

Igor ZekanoviÄ
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摘要

在上世纪九十年代,波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那地缘政治空间中复杂的政治和地理环境导致了波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那按照多数民族(斯普斯卡共和国)和两极民族-地理结构(波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那联邦)的标准在实体上的分裂。在访问这个问题时,我们从B&H的当代人口特征和过程具有政治-地理维度的前提开始。政治-地理进程和人口特征的相互制约和相互作用决定了波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那作为一个复杂的地缘政治单位的可持续性,它最终基于具体的民族-人口公式1+2+3,或更准确地说,一个国家、两个实体和三个组成民族和宗教。本文的研究主题将主要基于1991年和2013年波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那人口普查的比较分析,并确定领土部署和人口种族结构的人口变化。本文的目的是指出,上世纪九十年代波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那的政治-地理进程、军事冲突、具体后果和战争时期的重演对人口的当代空间分布和种族构成产生了决定性影响。本论文计划通过一般和特殊的地理研究方法和数据处理技术(统计、制图、图形、地理信息系统分析)来实现,这与研究政治地理过程对波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那当代地理人口特征的影响是一致的。
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POLITICAL-GEOGRAPHICAL DETERMINANTS OF CONTEMPORARY GEODEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS OF BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA WITH SPECIAL EMPHASIS TO TERRITORIAL POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
Complex political and geographical circumstances in geopolitical space of Bosnia and Herzegovina, in the nineties of the last century, led to the entity division of Bosnia and Herzegovina, according to the criteria of the ethnic majority (Republic of Srpska) and bipolar ethno-geographic structure (Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina). When accessing the issue, we start from the premise that contemporary demographic characteristics and processes in B&H have a political-geographical dimension. Mutual conditionality and interaction of political-geographical processes and demographic characteristics condition the sustainability of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a complex geopolitical unit, which is ultimately based on specific ethno-demographic formula 1+2+3, or more precisely, one country, two entities and three constituent people and religions. The subject of research in this paper will be essentially based on a comparative analysis of the Census in Bosnia and Herzegovina from 1991 and 2013 and identification of demographic changes in territorial deployment and ethnic structure of the population. The purpose of this paper is to indicate that the political-geographical processes, military conflicts, specific consequences and recurrence of the war period in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the nineties of the last century had a decisive influence on the contemporary spatial distribution and ethnic composition of the population. The paper is planned to be realized by general, as well as special methods of geographical research and data processing techniques (statistical, cartographic, graphical, GIS analysis), which are consistent with research of influence of political-geographical processes to contemporary geodemographic characteristics of Bosnia and Herzegovina.
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