安德鲁·卡内基在统计学方面的努力

Christopher Tong
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摘要

美国钢铁大亨和慈善家安德鲁·卡内基(1835-1919)从1892年起一直是美国统计协会的成员,直到他去世。他在宾夕法尼亚铁路公司学习成本会计,后来将其数据驱动的方法用于管理他的钢铁业务。他在自己的钢厂引入了详细的数据收集程序,并将所得信息用于人事管理、营销和资本投资决策,从而成功地超越了竞争对手。卡内基也是美国人口普查数据的消费者,在他的论战性著作《胜利的民主》(Triumphant Democracy)中广泛使用美国人口普查数据,以支持美国的政治和经济安排,而不是旧欧洲的政治和经济安排;并决定捐赠世界各地的公共图书馆和教堂风琴。然而,卡内基缺乏对统计变化的现代理解。自从卡耐基的时代以来,统计专业已经取得了进步,也缩小了范围。我认为,卡耐基在商界的现代同行今天不会受到美国统计协会的欢迎。
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The Statistical Endeavors of Andrew Carnegie
American steel tycoon and philanthropist Andrew Carnegie (1835-1919) was a member of the American Statistical Association from 1892 until his death. He learned cost accounting at the Pennsylvania Railroad, and later adapted its data-driven approach to managing his steel business. He successfully outperformed competitors by introducing a detailed data collection program within his steel mills, and using the resulting information for personnel management, marketing, and capital investment decisions. Carnegie was also a consumer of US census data, using it extensively in his polemical book Triumphant Democracy to argue in favor of the US political and economic arrangements, as opposed to those of old Europe; and for making decisions on donating public libraries and church organs across the world. However, Carnegie lacked a modern understanding of statistical variation. The statistics profession has advanced, and narrowed, since Carnegie's time, and I argue that Carnegie's modern counterparts in business would not be welcome in the American Statistical Association today.
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