中国经济、技术与生态足迹的关系

Asif Raihan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

当今世界,无论是发达国家还是新兴经济体,都在积极寻求实现经济可持续增长的目标。中国作为一个突出的新兴国家,在国际环境中占有重要地位。然而,必须承认的是,中国的生态影响是巨大的,2021年中国的碳排放量几乎占全球总排放量的三分之一。令人鼓舞的方面在于中国作为一个重要的经济大国的崛起,这可能归因于技术进步的积极影响。科学文献表明,使用新技术有可能对减轻环境退化作出重大贡献。本文旨在探讨1985 - 2020年中国经济增长和技术进步对生态足迹的影响。本研究运用生态足迹的概念对中国的环境退化进行评估。利用ARDL协整方法估计长期和短期影响,并通过应用进一步的协整回归技术对结果进行验证。此外,采用两两格兰杰因果分析来检验变量之间的因果关系。实证表明,经济扩张加剧了中国的环境恶化,而技术进步在解决这一问题方面发挥了缓解作用。研究结果还表明,经济增长与技术创新之间存在双向因果关系,表明中国的经济增长与技术进步相互促进。本文提出的绿色技术解决方案有可能在保持经济增长的同时缓解环境退化。维持长期的经济繁荣需要对碳排放征税和对环境有利的技术进行战略投资。
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Nexus between economy, technology, and ecological footprint in China

In contemporary times, nations across the globe, encompassing both developed and emerging economies, are actively pursuing the objective of achieving sustainable economic growth. China, as a prominent emerging nation, holds a significant position in the worldwide environment. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that China's ecological impact is substantial, as evidenced by its considerable contribution of almost one-third of the total global carbon emissions in the year 2021. The encouraging aspect lies in the emergence of China as a significant economic power, which may be attributed to the positive impact of technological advancements. The scientific literature suggests that the use of novel technologies has the potential to contribute significantly to mitigating environmental degradation. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of China's economic growth and technological advancements on ecological footprint throughout the period spanning from 1985 to 2020. This study utilizes the ecological footprint concept as a means to assess environmental degradation in China. The ARDL cointegration methodology is utilized to estimate the long- and short-term impacts, and the outcomes are validated through the application of further cointegration regression techniques. Furthermore, the pairwise Granger causality analysis is employed to examine the causal links among the variables. The empirical evidence suggests that economic expansion exacerbates environmental degradation in China, whereas technological progress plays a mitigating role in addressing this issue. The results of the study also demonstrated a bidirectional causality between economic growth and technological innovation, suggesting that China's economic growth and technological progress mutually reinforce one another. The paper proposes green technical solutions that have the potential to mitigate environmental degradation while maintaining economic growth. Sustaining long-term economic prosperity necessitates the implementation of both carbon emission taxation and strategic investments in environmentally beneficial technologies.

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