利用本福德定律调查和预防科学不端行为。

Gregory M Eckhartt, Graeme D Ruxton
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摘要

诚信和对诚信的信任是学术研究的根本。然而,对研究的可信度进行监督以及对可能存在的数据欺诈行为进行调查的程序并不完善。在此,我们建议使用本福德定律调查涉嫌欺诈性数据操纵的工作的实用方法。这对同行评审员个人、学术机构和期刊都有价值。在这方面,我们从财务审计的成熟做法中汲取了灵感。我们对有关本福德定律测试的文献进行了综述,最后建议对数据集中数字串每个位置的数字进行一次初步测试。我们还建议进行更多测试,这些测试在有关数据处理性质的特定假设成立时可能会被证明是有用的。重要的是,我们的建议不同于当前最常见的本福德定律检验方法。此外,我们还将该方法应用于以前发表的数据,强调了这些测试在检测已知违规行为方面的功效。最后,我们讨论了这些检验的结果,并提到了它们的优势和局限性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Investigating and preventing scientific misconduct using Benford's Law.

Integrity and trust in that integrity are fundamental to academic research. However, procedures for monitoring the trustworthiness of research, and for investigating cases where concern about possible data fraud have been raised are not well established. Here we suggest a practical approach for the investigation of work suspected of fraudulent data manipulation using Benford's Law. This should be of value to both individual peer-reviewers and academic institutions and journals. In this, we draw inspiration from well-established practices of financial auditing. We provide synthesis of the literature on tests of adherence to Benford's Law, culminating in advice of a single initial test for digits in each position of numerical strings within a dataset. We also recommend further tests which may prove useful in the event that specific hypotheses regarding the nature of data manipulation can be justified. Importantly, our advice differs from the most common current implementations of tests of Benford's Law. Furthermore, we apply the approach to previously-published data, highlighting the efficacy of these tests in detecting known irregularities. Finally, we discuss the results of these tests, with reference to their strengths and limitations.

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