危机时期生育意愿的衡量:以科维德-19 大流行病期间的调查数据为例。

IF 1.9 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Studies in Family Planning Pub Date : 2023-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-04 DOI:10.1111/sifp.12219
Letícia J Marteleto, Molly Dondero, Sneha Kumar, David C Mallinson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

生育意愿--关于是否生育和何时生育的意愿--可预测生殖健康结果。衡量生育意愿是困难的,尤其是在宏观结构冲击期间,原因至少有两个:(1)生育意愿在不确定时期可能特别不稳定;(2)宏观结构冲击可能限制数据收集。我们提出了一套指标,以捕捉宏观结构冲击如何直接改变生育意愿,并特别关注 2019 年冠状病毒病(Covid-19)大流行。我们从三个方面推进了生育意愿衡量指标的概念化和构建。首先,我们证明了直接询问妇女是否将生育意愿的变化归因于大流行的价值。其次,我们强调了划分生育推迟、提前、放弃和犹豫不决类型的重要性。第三,我们证明了在两年时间内纳入一个细化的时间窗口以捕捉生育意愿短期变化的重要性。我们使用巴西伯南布哥州 18-34 岁女性概率样本的调查数据来说明我们提出的测量方法的价值。我们讨论了第一波 Covid 导致的自我报告的生育意愿变化以及跨波的面板变化。通过揭示社会出身和均等的重要差异,我们进一步确定了我们的贡献。
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Measuring Fertility Intentions During Times of Crisis: An Example Using Survey Data Amid the Covid-19 Pandemic.

Fertility intentions-intentions regarding whether and when to have children-predict reproductive health outcomes. Measuring fertility intentions is difficult, particularly during macrostructural shocks, for at least two reasons: (1) fertility intentions may be especially volatile during periods of uncertainty and (2) macrostructural shocks may constrain data collection. We propose a set of indicators that capture how a macrostructural shock directly alters fertility intentions, with a particular focus on the Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic. We advance the conceptualization and construct of fertility intentions measures in three ways. First, we demonstrate the value of direct questions about whether women attributed changes in fertility intentions to the pandemic. Second, we highlight the importance of a typology that delineates fertility postponement, advancement, foregoing, and indecision. Third, we demonstrate the importance of incorporating a granular time window within a two-year period to capture short-term changes to fertility intentions. We exemplify the value of our proposed measures using survey data from a probabilistic sample of women aged 18-34 in Pernambuco, Brazil. We discuss the self-reported change in intentions due to Covid in wave 1 as well as panel change across waves. We further ground our contributions by uncovering important variations by social origin and parity.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
9.50%
发文量
35
期刊介绍: Studies in Family Planning publishes public health, social science, and biomedical research concerning sexual and reproductive health, fertility, and family planning, with a primary focus on developing countries. Each issue contains original research articles, reports, a commentary, book reviews, and a data section with findings for individual countries from the Demographic and Health Surveys.
期刊最新文献
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