Schizophrenia, Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA), and Herpes Viruses: Immunogenetic Associations at the Population Level.

Several factors have been implicated in schizophrenia (SZ), including human herpes viruses (HHV) and the adaptive immunity Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) genes. Here we investigated these issues in 2 complementary ways. In one analysis, we evaluated SZ-HLA and HHV-HLA associations at the level of a single allele by computing (a) a SZ-HLA protection/susceptibility (P/S) score based on the covariance between SZ and 127 HLA allele prevalences in 14 European countries, (b) estimating in silico HHV-HLA best binding affinities for the 9 HHV strains, and (c) evaluating the dependence of P/S score on HHV-HLA binding affinities. These analyses yielded (a) a set of 127 SZ-HLA P/S scores, varying by >200× (maximum/minimum), which could not be accounted for by chance, (b) a set of 127 alleles × 9 HHV best-estimated affinities, varying by >600×, and (c) a set of correlations between SZ-HLA P/S scores and HHV-HLA binding which indicated a prominent role of HHV1. In a subsequent analysis, we extended these findings to the individual person by taking into account the fact that every individual carries 12 HLA alleles and computed (a) the average SZ-HLA P/S scores of 12 randomly chosen alleles (2 per gene), an indicator of HLA-based SZ P/S for an individual, and (b) the average of the corresponding HHV estimated affinities for those alleles, an indicator of overall effectiveness of HHV-HLA binding. We found (a) that HLA protection for SZ was significantly more prominent than susceptibility, and (b) that protective SZ-HLA scores were associated with higher HHV-HLA binding affinities, indicating that HLA binding and subsequent elimination of several HHV strains may confer protection against schizophrenia.