国际旅游与前20大旅游目的地环境退化之间的动态联系:来自分位数对分位数方法的新见解。

IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Evaluation Review Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1177/0193841X221149809
Ilhan Ozturk, Arshian Sharif, Danish Iqbal Godil, Adnan Yousuf, Iram Tahir
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引用次数: 5

摘要

旅游业是影响任何经济体的环境和经济状况的重要因素之一。本研究利用1995年至2018年的季度观测数据,调查了前20个旅游目的地的游客人数与二氧化碳排放之间的关系。采用了分位数对分位数回归和分位数格兰杰因果关系的独特技术。特别分析了游客到达分位数对二氧化碳排放分位数的影响。实证结果表明,在大多数旅游目的地,游客数量和二氧化碳排放既有正效应,也有负效应。在美国、西班牙、香港和奥地利,无论是高尾还是低尾,游客到达对二氧化碳排放都有显著的正向影响,而在加拿大、法国、德国、墨西哥和马来西亚,这种关联为负。另一方面,中国、希腊、俄罗斯、日本、意大利、韩国、泰国和土耳其在低尾和高尾的CO2排放上既有正效应,也有负效应。在制定环境和气候方面的政策时,旅游业可以是一个重要因素。
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The Dynamic Nexus Between International Tourism and Environmental Degradation in Top Twenty Tourist Destinations: New Insights From Quantile-on-Quantile Approach.

Tourism is one of the important factors that can affect the environmental and economic situation of any economy. This study investigates the relationship between tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in the top 20 tourist destinations using data from quarterly observations from 1995 to 2018. A unique technique via quantile-on-quantile regression and Granger causality in quantiles was used. In particular, how the quantiles of tourist arrivals impact quantiles of CO2 emission was analyzed. The empirical results suggest a combination of both positive and negative effects of tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in most tourist destinations. Predominantly, at both high and low tails, in the USA, Spain, Hong Kong, and Austria, tourist arrival has a positive effect on CO2 emission, whereas in the case of Canada, France, Germany, Mexico, and Malaysia, the association was negative. On the other hand, China, Greece, Russia, Japan, Italy, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey have both positive and negative effects of tourism on CO2 emissions at low and high tails. Tourism can be an important factor while formulating policy for environmental and climate aspects.

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来源期刊
Evaluation Review
Evaluation Review SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: Evaluation Review is the forum for researchers, planners, and policy makers engaged in the development, implementation, and utilization of studies aimed at the betterment of the human condition. The Editors invite submission of papers reporting the findings of evaluation studies in such fields as child development, health, education, income security, manpower, mental health, criminal justice, and the physical and social environments. In addition, Evaluation Review will contain articles on methodological developments, discussions of the state of the art, and commentaries on issues related to the application of research results. Special features will include periodic review essays, "research briefs", and "craft reports".
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