采样频率对使用连续时间模型的AR过程估计动力学的影响。

IF 7.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Psychological methods Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI:10.1037/met0000595
Rohit Batra, Simran K Johal, Meng Chen, Emilio Ferrer
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引用次数: 1

摘要

连续时间模型是一种灵活的心理构念纵向数据建模方法。当使用CT模型时,研究人员可以为感兴趣的现象假设一个潜在的连续函数。原则上,这些模型克服了离散时间(DT)模型的一些局限性,并允许研究人员比较使用不同时间间隔(如每日,每周或每月间隔)收集的测量结果。从理论上讲,等效模型的参数可以重新调整为一个共同的时间间隔,以便在个体和研究之间进行比较,而不考虑采样所用的时间间隔。在这项研究中,我们进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,以检验CT自回归(CT- ar)模型在采样间隔不同于真实生成过程的时间尺度时恢复过程真实动态的能力。我们使用具有不同AR参数强度的两个生成时间间隔(每天或每周),并在不同间隔(每天,每周或每月)采样时评估其恢复。我们的研究结果表明,在比生成动力学更快的时间间隔内采样可以大部分恢复生成的AR效应。在较慢的时间间隔进行采样,需要较强的生成AR效果才能获得满意的恢复,否则估计结果偏差大,覆盖率差。根据我们的发现,我们建议研究人员在研究变量的理论指导下使用采样间隔,并且只要可能,尽可能频繁地采样。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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Consequences of sampling frequency on the estimated dynamics of AR processes using continuous-time models.

Continuous-time (CT) models are a flexible approach for modeling longitudinal data of psychological constructs. When using CT models, a researcher can assume one underlying continuous function for the phenomenon of interest. In principle, these models overcome some limitations of discrete-time (DT) models and allow researchers to compare findings across measures collected using different time intervals, such as daily, weekly, or monthly intervals. Theoretically, the parameters for equivalent models can be rescaled into a common time interval that allows for comparisons across individuals and studies, irrespective of the time interval used for sampling. In this study, we carry out a Monte Carlo simulation to examine the capability of CT autoregressive (CT-AR) models to recover the true dynamics of a process when the sampling interval is different from the time scale of the true generating process. We use two generating time intervals (daily or weekly) with varying strengths of the AR parameter and assess its recovery when sampled at different intervals (daily, weekly, or monthly). Our findings indicate that sampling at a faster time interval than the generating dynamics can mostly recover the generating AR effects. Sampling at a slower time interval requires stronger generating AR effects for satisfactory recovery, otherwise the estimation results show high bias and poor coverage. Based on our findings, we recommend researchers use sampling intervals guided by theory about the variable under study, and whenever possible, sample as frequently as possible. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

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来源期刊
Psychological methods
Psychological methods PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
13.10
自引率
7.10%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.
期刊最新文献
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