ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 predict recidivism for men adjudicated for child sexual exploitation material offending.

IF 2.4 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Law and Human Behavior Pub Date : 2023-10-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-24 DOI:10.1037/lhb0000540
Kelly M Babchishin, Ségolène Dibayula, Chiara McCulloch, R Karl Hanson, L Maaike Helmus
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Abstract

Objective: Risk assessment is essential to effective correctional practice. For individuals with contact sexual offenses, many risk tools are available. There are fewer options, however, for individuals whose sexual offending exclusively involves child sexual exploitation materials (CSEM; legally referred to in Canada and the United States as child pornography).

Hypotheses: The present study examined the predictive validity of the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 sexual recidivism risk tools among men with CSEM offenses. We expected these tools to show moderate predictive validity across study groups.

Method: We compared the scales' discrimination and calibration across three groups: (a) 1,042 men with contact sexual offenses against children (baseline comparison), (b) 228 men with exclusive CSEM offending (no contact sexual offenses), and (c) 80 men with both contact sexual offenses and CSEM offenses.

Results: We found that the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 total scores and items had comparable (and often better) discrimination for men with CSEM offending compared with contact sexual offending against children in the prediction of any sexual recidivism, violent recidivism, and any recidivism. Calibration analyses indicated that the overall sexual recidivism rates for the median ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 scores were similar for men with exclusive CSEM offenses compared with men with any contact offending against children. Almost all of the sexual recidivism for the CSEM-exclusive group involved further CSEM offenses.

Conclusions: This study supports the use of these tools to rank-order men with CSEM offending in terms of their risk of reoffending and to help direct treatment and management efforts. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

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ACUTE-2007和STABLE-2007预测了因儿童性剥削材料犯罪而被判刑的男性的累犯率。
目标:风险评估对于有效的矫正实践至关重要。对于有接触性性犯罪的个人,有许多风险工具可用。然而,对于性犯罪完全涉及儿童性剥削材料(CSEM;在加拿大和美国法律上称为儿童色情制品)的个人来说,选择更少。假设:本研究检验了ACUTE-2007和STABLE-2007性再犯风险工具在CSEM犯罪男性中的预测有效性。我们期望这些工具在研究组中显示出适度的预测有效性。方法:我们比较了三组的量表的歧视和校准:(a)1042名对儿童有接触性性犯罪的男性(基线比较),(b)228名有完全性侵犯行为的男性(无接触性犯罪),以及(c)80名同时有接触性犯罪和性侵犯行为。结果:我们发现,在预测任何性累犯、暴力累犯和任何累犯方面,ACUTE-2007和STABLE-2007总分和项目对患有CSEM犯罪的男性与对儿童的接触性性犯罪具有可比性(通常更好)的歧视。校准分析表明,与任何针对儿童的接触性犯罪的男性相比,患有单纯CSEM犯罪的男性在ACUTE-2007和STABLE-2007中位得分的总体性再犯率相似。CSEM专属群体的几乎所有性累犯都涉及进一步的CSEM犯罪。结论:本研究支持使用这些工具根据CSEM罪犯再次犯罪的风险对其进行排名,并有助于指导治疗和管理工作。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2023 APA,保留所有权利)。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
8.00%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Law and Human Behavior, the official journal of the American Psychology-Law Society/Division 41 of the American Psychological Association, is a multidisciplinary forum for the publication of articles and discussions of issues arising out of the relationships between human behavior and the law, our legal system, and the legal process. This journal publishes original research, reviews of past research, and theoretical studies from professionals in criminal justice, law, psychology, sociology, psychiatry, political science, education, communication, and other areas germane to the field.
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