Prediction of the sarcopenia in peritoneal dialysis using simple clinical information: A machine learning-based model.

Abstract

Introduction: Sarcopenia is associated with significant cardiovascular risk, and death in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD). Three tools are used for diagnosing sarcopenia. The evaluation of muscle mass requires dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) or computed tomography (CT), which is labor-intensive and relatively expensive. This study aimed to use simple clinical information to develop a machine learning (ML)-based prediction model of PD sarcopenia.

Methods: According to the newly revised Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS2019), patients were subjected to complete sarcopenia screening, including appendicular skeletal muscle mass, grip strength, and five-time chair stand time test. Simple clinical information such as general information, dialysis-related indices, irisin and other laboratory indices, and bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) data were collected. All data were randomly split into training (70%) and testing (30%) sets. Difference, correlation, univariate, and multivariate analyses were used to identify core features significantly associated with PD sarcopenia.

Result: 12 core features (C), namely, grip strength, body mass index (BMI), total body water value, irisin, extracellular water/total body water, fat-free mass index, phase angle, albumin/globulin, blood phosphorus, total cholesterol, triglyceride, and prealbumin were excavated for model construction. Two ML models, the neural network (NN), and support vector machine (SVM) were selected with tenfold cross-validation to determine the optimal parameter. The C-SVM model showed a higher area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-1.00), with a highest specificity of 0.96, sensitivity of 0.91, positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.96, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.91.

Conclusion: The ML model effectively predicted PD sarcopenia and has clinical potential to be used as a convenient sarcopenia screening tool.