Financing the SDGs: How Bangladesh May Reshape Its Strategies in the Post-COVID Era?

Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1057/s41287-022-00556-8
Kazi Arif Uz Zaman
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

COVID-19 has acutely arrested the attainment of sustainable development goals (SDGs). Internal mobilization of resources got slimmed as the government's expenditure on health and social safety nets have increased. External sources are also constricted owing to the uncertainties over the cross-border investment and economic recovery process of the countries. A government study in 2017 projected that Bangladesh, on average, would need an additional USD 68.83 billion from internal sources and USD 11.03 billion from external sources since 2021 to accomplish its SDGs by 2030. Using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)forecasting techniques, this paper re-estimated future flows of all SDGs funding sources, e.g., fiscal revenues, private sector investment, non-government organizations (NGOs), public-private partnerships, foreign direct investments, and foreign grant still 2030 under the purview of the COVID-19. Revised allocation estimated by this study reveals that private investment and NGOs would need to contribute higher than the 2017 estimation during 2021-2025 while only private investment needs to be higher during 2026-2030.

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为可持续发展目标融资:孟加拉国如何在后covid时代重塑其战略?
2019冠状病毒病严重阻碍了可持续发展目标的实现。由于政府在卫生和社会安全网方面的支出增加,内部资源的调动减少了。由于这些国家的跨界投资和经济复苏进程的不确定性,外部来源也受到限制。2017年的一项政府研究预测,自2021年以来,孟加拉国平均需要额外的内部资金688.3亿美元和外部资金110.3亿美元,才能在2030年前实现其可持续发展目标。本文利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)预测技术,重新估计了2030年2019冠状病毒病范围内所有可持续发展目标资金来源的未来流量,如财政收入、私营部门投资、非政府组织、公私伙伴关系、外国直接投资和外国赠款。本研究估算的修正分配表明,在2021-2025年期间,私人投资和非政府组织的贡献需要高于2017年的估计,而在2026-2030年期间,只有私人投资需要更高的贡献。
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