The Influence of ESG Ratings On Idiosyncratic Stock Risk: The Unrated, the Good, the Bad, and the Sinners.

Matthias Horn
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Abstract

This study analyzes whether stocks of companies with environmental social governance (ESG) rating show lower idiosyncratic risk. The main analysis covers 898,757 company-month observations of US stocks in the period from 1991 to 2018 and controls for stocks' exposure to liquidity, mispricing, innovations in volatility risk, investor sentiment, and analysts' forecast divergence. The main finding is that the receipt of an ESG rating decreases idiosyncratic stock risk. The effect is stronger for stocks that receive a higher ESG rating. Nevertheless, even when companies receive a lower ESG rating, they show significantly lower idiosyncratic risk than stocks without an ESG rating. Furthermore, stocks subject to a negative screen show lower idiosyncratic risk during recessions than comparable stocks with an ESG rating but without a negative screen. The results support the notion that the receipt of an ESG rating decreases uncertainty regarding future stock risk and return and show that ESG ratings and negative screens individually influence stock risk and, therefore, should be considered separately.

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环境、社会和治理评级对偶发性股票风险的影响:未评级者、好者、坏者和罪人。
本研究分析了具有环境社会治理(ESG)评级的公司股票是否显示出较低的特异性风险。主要分析涵盖 1991 年至 2018 年期间美股 898757 个公司月的观测数据,并控制了股票的流动性风险、错误定价、波动性风险创新、投资者情绪和分析师预测分歧。主要发现是,获得 ESG 评级会降低股票的特异性风险。获得较高 ESG 评级的股票受到的影响更大。尽管如此,即使公司获得较低的 ESG 评级,其特异性风险也明显低于未获得 ESG 评级的股票。此外,在经济衰退期间,受到负面筛选的股票比受到 ESG 评级但没有受到负面筛选的同类股票显示出更低的特异性风险。研究结果支持这样一种观点,即获得 ESG 评级会降低未来股票风险和收益的不确定性,并表明 ESG 评级和负面筛选会单独影响股票风险,因此应单独考虑。
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