Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel

IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI:10.1111/infi.12415
Ryan Banerjee, Boris Hofmann, Aaron Mehrotra
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Abstract

Currency depreciation dampens corporate investment through a financial channel. Using firm-level data for 16 major economies, we find that depreciation reduces investment by interacting with firm leverage. The finding is consistent with predictions from a stylized model of credit risk in which the exchange rate affects credit supply and investment when firms borrow in foreign currency, or in local currency from foreign lenders. Empirically, the channel is significantly more pronounced in emerging market economies (EMEs), reflecting greater dependence on foreign funding and less developed financial systems. Our findings suggest that the depreciation of EME currencies since 2011 probably contributed in a significant way to the investment slowdown in these economies.

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企业投资与汇率:金融渠道
货币贬值通过金融渠道抑制企业投资。利用16个主要经济体的企业层面数据,我们发现贬值通过与企业杠杆的相互作用减少了投资。这一发现与一种程式化信贷风险模型的预测相一致。在这种模型中,当企业以外币或本币向外国贷款人借款时,汇率会影响信贷供应和投资。从经验上看,这一渠道在新兴市场经济体(eme)中更为明显,反映出对外国资金的依赖程度更高,金融体系欠发达。我们的研究结果表明,自2011年以来,EME货币的贬值可能在很大程度上导致了这些经济体的投资放缓。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.30%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: International Finance is a highly selective ISI-accredited journal featuring literate and policy-relevant analysis in macroeconomics and finance. Specific areas of focus include: · Exchange rates · Monetary policy · Political economy · Financial markets · Corporate finance The journal''s readership extends well beyond academia into national treasuries and corporate treasuries, central banks and investment banks, and major international organizations. International Finance publishes lucid, policy-relevant writing in macroeconomics and finance backed by rigorous theory and empirical analysis. In addition to the core double-refereed articles, the journal publishes non-refereed themed book reviews by invited authors and commentary pieces by major policy figures. The editor delivers the vast majority of first-round decisions within three months.
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