The Global Financial Cycle after Lehman

Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI:10.1257/pandp.20201096
Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Hélène Rey
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引用次数: 41

Abstract

Did the effect of US monetary policy on the global financial cycle change after the crisis? We analyze the international transmission of the Fed's policy shocks since 2009. We find similar effects for the policies that act mostly on the short end of the US yield curve. But there is evidence of potent information effects active at the long end. Lower ten-year Treasury yields are associated with weaker global financial activity and flight to safety. The information content of the VIX may have changed substantially since the crisis.
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雷曼兄弟倒闭后的全球金融周期
危机过后,美国货币政策对全球金融周期的影响是否发生了变化?我们分析了2009年以来美联储政策冲击的国际传导。我们发现,主要作用于美国收益率曲线短端的政策也会产生类似的效果。但有证据表明,长期来看,强有力的信息效应是活跃的。较低的10年期美国国债收益率与全球金融活动减弱和避险资金外流有关。自危机以来,波动率指数的信息内容可能发生了重大变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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