The Laws of War and Public Opinion: An Experimental Study

Adam Chilton
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引用次数: 97

Abstract

Research examining whether the laws of war change state behavior has produced conflicting results, and limitations of observational studies have stalled progress on the topic. To bring new evidence to the debate, I have conducted a survey experiment that directly tests whether one mechanism hypothesized to drive compliance with international law - changes in public opinion - creates pressure to comply with the laws of war. The results provide qualified support to research suggesting that democracies may comply with the laws of war when there is the expectation of reciprocity.
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战争法则与舆论:一项实验研究
关于战争法是否会改变国家行为的研究产生了相互矛盾的结果,而观察性研究的局限性也阻碍了这一主题的进展。为了给这场辩论带来新的证据,我进行了一项调查实验,直接测试一种被假设为推动遵守国际法的机制——公众舆论的变化——是否会产生遵守战争法的压力。这些结果为以下研究提供了有力的支持:当存在互惠预期时,民主国家可能会遵守战争法。
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