MULTI-WAVE COVID-19 PANDEMIC DYNAMICS IN ICELAND IN TERMS OF DOUBLE SIGMOIDAL BOLTZMANN EQUATION (DSBE)

P. Pal
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Abstract

The world is facing multi-wave transmission of COVID-19 pandemics, and investigations are rigorously carried out on modeling the dynamics of the pandemic. Multi-wave transmission during infectious disease epidemics is a big challenge to public health. Here we introduce a simple mathematical model, the double sigmoidal-Boltzmann equation (DSBE), for analyzing the multi-wave Covid-19 spread in Iceland in terms of the number of cumulative cases. Simulation results and the main parameters that characterize multi waves are derived, yielding important information about the behavior of the multi-wave pandemics over time. The result of the current examination reveals the effectiveness and efficacy of DSBE for exploring the Covid 19 dynamics in Iceland and can be employed to examine the pandemic situation in different countries undergoing multi-waves.
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基于双s型玻尔兹曼方程(dsbe)的冰岛新冠肺炎多波流行动态
全球正面临新冠肺炎大流行的多波传播,对大流行动力学建模进行了严格的调查。传染病流行期间的多波传播是对公共卫生的一大挑战。本文介绍了一个简单的数学模型,即双s型-玻尔兹曼方程(DSBE),用于从累积病例数的角度分析冰岛新冠肺炎多波传播。导出了表征多波的模拟结果和主要参数,提供了关于多波流行病随时间变化的重要信息。本次检测结果显示了DSBE在冰岛研究新冠肺炎动态的有效性和有效性,可以用于研究不同国家多波疫情的疫情情况。
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