A New Pricing Model for Crude Oil Pre-Sale Units via SPF (Standard Parallel Forward) in Iran

G. Nikjou, H. Najafi
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Abstract

Nowadays energy has an important role as a driving sector of economy. Forecasting 150 billion dollars investment in energy sector during the fifth development program in Iran, the banking and financial system require a dynamic and modern economy and financial instruments. Obviously, this approach needs to remove legal barriers and modification of contracts. Financing in the oil industry has faced with serious challenges in recent years. On the other hand, investing in common offshore oil and gas resources is indispensable. In this article we are going to prepare a proposal for the Iran Ministry of Petroleum (MOP) and present a model for pricing the oil Standard Parallel Forward (SPF) contract based on Black and Scholes option pricing model. In order to proper price estimation, a proposal is presented based on empirical research and statistical models. Finally, we have some recommendations to develop the oil SPF contract and also suggest to the other researchers working on pricing the oil SPF contracts according to this model.
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伊朗原油预售单位SPF(标准平行远期)定价新模型
当今,能源作为经济的驱动部门,具有重要的作用。在伊朗第五个发展计划期间,预计能源部门将投资1500亿美元,银行和金融体系需要一个充满活力的现代经济和金融工具。显然,这种方法需要消除法律障碍和修改合同。近年来,石油行业的融资面临严峻挑战。另一方面,投资共同的海上油气资源是必不可少的。在本文中,我们将为伊朗石油部(MOP)准备一份提案,并提出一个基于Black和Scholes期权定价模型的石油标准平行远期(SPF)合约定价模型。为了实现合理的价格估算,本文提出了基于实证研究和统计模型的建议。最后,对石油SPF合约的开发提出了建议,并对其他根据该模型进行石油SPF合约定价的研究人员提出了建议。
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