Global Energy and Temperature Balance, Greenhouse Effect and Comparison of Scenarios of Influence on Temperature Increase

Saltanov Mg, Nigmatulin Bi
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Abstract

The article considers the simplest and most indicative correlations between greenhouse gas emissions (primarily energy and transport) and global temperature rise. Their contributions to the global greenhouse effect are shown. It is shown that, when taking as a determining, not annual, but cumulative emission, the difference in the final effect - an increase in the temperature of the earth, for various ways of developing energy and transport (RES vs. conventional energy, electric transport vs. transport on hydrocarbon fuel, etc.) is extremely small and cannot be the base for choosing methods of reducing the rate of climate warming.
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全球能量和温度平衡、温室效应和影响温度升高的情景比较
本文考虑了温室气体排放(主要是能源和运输)与全球气温上升之间最简单和最具指示性的相关性。它们对全球温室效应的贡献被显示出来。结果表明,当以决定性的,而不是年度的,而是累积的排放作为决定因素时,各种发展能源和运输方式(可再生能源与常规能源,电力运输与碳氢化合物燃料运输等)的最终影响-地球温度升高的差异非常小,不能作为选择减缓气候变暖速度的方法的基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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