Density Function Estimation Based on SVM: An Application in Estimating Liquidity Risk in Stock Market

Yiwen Yang, Chenxi Zhang
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper presents a method to compute liquidity risk of stock market with model of VaR. Firstly, a measure for liquidity is defined, which reflects the volatility of return caused by unite ratio of the position to be liquidated to the tradable shares. Secondly, the density function of the measure for liquidity is estimated with support vector machine, with which the liquidity VaR of stocks is calculated. Finally, some stocks of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are chosen, according to their tradable shares, to compute liquidity VaR. The results show that the liquidity VaR is bigger than the traditional VaR that is calculated without considering liquidity, which means the latter does underestimate the risk. Keywords-density function estimation; SVMg; liquidity risk; VaR
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基于支持向量机的密度函数估计在股票市场流动性风险估计中的应用
本文提出了一种用VaR模型计算股票市场流动性风险的方法。首先,定义了一个流动性度量,它反映了待平仓与流通股的统一比率所引起的收益波动。其次,利用支持向量机估计流动性测度的密度函数,计算股票的流动性VaR;最后,选取沪深两市的股票,根据其流通股来计算流动性VaR,结果表明,流动性VaR比传统的不考虑流动性的VaR要大,说明后者低估了风险。关键词:密度函数估计;SVMg;流动性风险;VaR
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