The world in 2022: ten issues that will shape the international agenda

Eduard Soler i Lecha
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

2022 will be a year for re-evaluating the limits of inequality, restrictive measures, the stimulus plans, geopolitical tensions, or trust in institutions. The economic and emotional recovery will be uneven and will be conditioned to distresses in the rivalry between great powers, price increases and the full overcoming of the pandemic. The world does not have a problem of diagnosis. The necessity and urgency of the ongoing socio-economic, technological and climate transitions are well-known. Where there is debate, it concerns which type of leadership is best equipped or has most legitimacy to pilot this change, how the process should be conducted to ensure the lowest possible social costs and where the point of no return lies. 2022 is a year when international leaderships face re-examination in key elections in places such as France, Brazil, Hungary, the US (midterms) and at the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. Which kinds of ideas, people and models will enjoy most support and legitimacy?
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2022年的世界:影响国际议程的十大问题
2022年将是重新评估不平等、限制性措施、刺激计划、地缘政治紧张局势或对机构信任的极限的一年。经济和情绪的复苏将是不平衡的,并将取决于大国之间的竞争、价格上涨和充分克服这一流行病所带来的痛苦。世界上不存在诊断问题。正在进行的社会经济、技术和气候转型的必要性和紧迫性是众所周知的。在存在争论的地方,它涉及哪种类型的领导最有能力或最有合法性来引导这一变革,应该如何进行这一进程以确保尽可能低的社会成本,以及不可能回头的点在哪里。2022年,国际领导人将在法国、巴西、匈牙利、美国(中期选举)和中国共产党第二十次全国代表大会等地的关键选举中面临重新审视。什么样的思想、人和模式会得到最大的支持和合法性?
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