Japan–India Relations Beyond Coping with China in the Indo-Pacific Region

Horimoto Takenori
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Abstract

The Indo-Pacific region is said to be the center of the 21st century, unlike the Asia-Pacific in the 20th century. In the region, China is emerging rapidly in terms of economic strength, defense capability, and international presence. The US and other concerned countries are striving to cope with the new development. It looks that the US manages to somehow retain its Pax Americana as in the latter half of the last century. China which dreams to head for Pax Sinica has been implementing various measures including removing unfavorable circumstances to promote its dream. At the moment, it is hard to make prompt predictions on how these two Pax would be going. The key question would be ways to deal with China. Typical policies now under implementation are engaging policy represented by the RCEP and balancing policy by the Quad. These two policies have a timeline of short-term policy and middle-term policy. Perhaps, contents of the policies would be finalized depending upon China’s economic development as one of the major factors. To bring about peace and stability of the region, in tandem with them, it might be necessary to bring about a regional order of the Indo-Pacific where it has been lacking. The close relations of Japan and India could be utilized for such a purpose also. Although COVID-19 is afflicting the whole region, it is hoped that the pandemic could be overcome by vaccines and other measures in the near future. It is the right time now to ponder over the future direction of the Indo-Pacific region before it is too late.
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在印太地区应对中国之外的日印关系
与20世纪的亚太地区不同,印度太平洋地区是21世纪的中心。在该地区,中国在经济实力、国防能力和国际影响力方面正在迅速崛起。美国和其他有关国家正在努力应对新的事态发展。美国似乎设法维持了上世纪下半叶的“美国治下的和平”(Pax Americana)。梦想实现“中国治下的和平”的中国一直在实施各种措施,包括消除不利环境,以促进这一梦想。目前,很难立即预测这两个国家的和平将如何发展。关键问题将是如何与中国打交道。目前正在实施的典型政策是以RCEP为代表的接触政策和以四方对话为代表的平衡政策。这两项政策都有一个短期政策和中期政策的时间表。也许,政策的内容将根据中国的经济发展作为主要因素之一而最终确定。为了实现地区的和平与稳定,与此同时,可能需要在印度-太平洋地区建立一个缺失的地区秩序。日本和印度的密切关系也可以用于这一目的。虽然新冠疫情正在席卷整个地区,但希望在不久的将来,通过疫苗和其他措施能够战胜疫情。现在正是思考印太地区未来走向的好时机,为时未晚。
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