Does the Currency Exposure Matter in the Chinese Automobile Industry?

Bo Tang
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Abstract

This study examines the symmetric and asymmetric exchange rate exposures of Chinese automobile firms at different time horizons. Empirical findings reveal that firm returns are less likely to be affected by currency movements at short-term (daily) horizons due to restrictions on the currency daily trading band, but (a)symmetric exchange rate exposures appear to be significant at relatively longer horizons after the launch of RMB internationalisation, particularly for monthly horizons. The evidence also show that returns of ordinary auto firms underperform those of Fortune 500 and B-share auto firms in response to exchange rate changes. As for hedging strategies, firms may consider listing shares on foreign stock exchange in addition to the domestic market and produce products simultaneously in foreign nations through international expansion.
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货币风险对中国汽车行业有影响吗?
本研究考察了中国汽车企业在不同时间尺度下的对称和非对称汇率风险。实证研究结果显示,由于对货币日交易区间的限制,企业收益在短期(日)范围内不太可能受到货币波动的影响,但是(a)在人民币国际化启动后,对称汇率风险敞口在相对较长的范围内显得很重要,特别是在月度范围内。证据还表明,在汇率变化的影响下,普通汽车公司的回报率低于财富500强和b股汽车公司的回报率。在对冲策略方面,企业可以考虑在国内市场之外在国外证券交易所上市,并通过国际扩张在国外同步生产产品。
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