Analysis of the quality of local council elections in Hoima city, mid-western Uganda

D. Mwesigwa, Alfred Acanga, Alex Chono Oryang, A. Oboi, G. Obici
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Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study was to discuss the quality of local council elections by exploring factors that influence vote buying and vote selling during electoral seasons in Uganda. Methodology: A cross-sectional study aimed at promoting free, fair and credible local council elections in Hoima city. The study was conducted in one city ward that is part of Hoima City Cohort Study (HCCS). The HCCS is a population-based cohort that was identified for purposes of this study. A total of 28 registered voters, resident in four study areas were enrolled into the study. Data were collected on socio-econ-political related characteristics. A regression model was used to generate voting frequency as a measure of association for factors that were associated with voter bribery. Findings: Results suggest that voter bribery was high; higher in men than in women. Less than half had participated in more than two previous local council elections while slightly more than half were taking part in the second election. After adjusting for potential and suspected confounder, the factors that were negatively associated with voter bribery were: greed, poverty, and expectations; political party/candidate influence and lack of self-control were positively associated with voter bribery. Since political party/candidate influence and lack of self-control were positively associated with voter bribery in the area of study, targeting those having exorbitant resources to tempt voters may help reduce voter bribery in this area. Unique Contribution to Policy and Practice: The results of this study may be useful to policy and practice since they can facilitate managers of electoral management bodies as well as political parties to evolve frameworks that can facilitate credible electoral processes.
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乌干达中西部霍伊马市地方议会选举质量分析
目的:本研究的目的是通过探索影响乌干达选举季节投票购买和投票销售的因素来讨论地方议会选举的质量。方法:一项横断面研究,旨在促进霍伊马市自由、公平和可信的地方议会选举。该研究是在霍伊马城市队列研究(HCCS)的一个城市病房进行的。HCCS是一个基于人群的队列,是为本研究的目的而确定的。共有28名登记选民,居住在四个研究区域。收集了有关社会经济政治特征的数据。使用回归模型来生成投票频率,作为与选民贿赂相关因素的关联度量。研究发现:调查结果表明,选民贿选现象严重;男性高于女性。不到一半的人参加了两次以上的地方议会选举,而略多于一半的人参加了第二次选举。在调整了潜在的和可疑的混杂因素后,与选民贿赂负相关的因素是:贪婪、贫穷和期望;政党/候选人影响力和缺乏自我控制与选民贿赂呈正相关。由于政党/候选人的影响力和缺乏自我控制与本研究领域的选民贿赂呈正相关,因此针对那些拥有过高资源的人来诱惑选民可能有助于减少该领域的选民贿赂。对政策和实践的独特贡献:本研究的结果可能对政策和实践有用,因为它们可以促进选举管理机构的管理人员以及政党制定能够促进可信选举进程的框架。
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