Risk Management with Variable Capital Utilization and Procyclical Collateral Capacity

Guojun Chen, Zhongjin Lu, Siddharth Vij
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Abstract

We build a risk management model that incorporates variable capital utilization and procyclical collateral capacity. The former means that capital utilization determines production, which affects capital depreciation and risk exposure, linking capital utilization to firms' risk management decisions. The latter means that the ability to borrow and hedge increases with expected profitability. Using a new dataset on hedging and capital utilization of oil and gas producers, we employ novel identification strategies and find that hedging is positively correlated with corporate liquidity and expected profitability, whereas utilization is negatively correlated with liquidity. These results support the key predictions of our theory.
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可变资本利用和顺周期担保能力的风险管理
我们建立了一个包含可变资本利用和顺周期抵押品能力的风险管理模型。前者意味着资本利用决定生产,生产影响资本折旧和风险暴露,将资本利用与企业的风险管理决策联系起来。后者意味着借款和对冲的能力随着预期盈利能力的提高而提高。利用一个关于油气生产商套期保值和资本利用的新数据集,我们采用了新的识别策略,发现套期保值与公司流动性和预期盈利能力正相关,而利用率与流动性负相关。这些结果支持了我们理论的关键预测。
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