Uncertainty Treatment of Integrated Energy System Based on Scenario Reduction Method

Abstract

In the context of high permeability of renewable energy, a large number of uncertain energy sources, such as scenery, have brought a huge impact on the security and stability of the comprehensive energy system. In order to reduce the impact of renewable energy on the new power system and improve the system stability, In this paper, a comprehensive energy system of the park is set up, which consists of three kinds of energy loads including source side electricity, heat, gas and scenery, and electric heat. On this basis, Monte Carlo method is adopted to simulate multiple sets of scenes respectively for the scenery output. On this basis, scene reduction method is adopted to reduce them to obtain the final equivalent force diagram, so as to reduce the influence of the uncertainty of scenery on the system stability. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by simulation analysis.