Questions of the mathematical modeling of the progression of coronary heart disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Y. Urmanova, Shakhnoza Mukhtarova, Tursunkulov Ortikali, M. Mukhtarova, Kholikov Farkhod Jamoliddin Ugli
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Abstract

In 2017-2019, 40 patients were examined (16 of them men, 24 women) with type 2 diabetes mellitus in combination with IHD, of which 38 patients had a favorable course and 8 with an unfavorable course. For an unfavorable profile, the presence of strokes, mycocardial infarction (fatal, nonfatal), repeated hospitalizations for worsening chronic heart failure (decrease in ejection fraction), repeated surgical interventions (percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass grafting) for the current 3 years was taken into account. The average age of patients was 65.5 years. In total, 119 signs recorded in the first three days from the moment of patient's arrival were analyzed as possible predictors of an unfavorable prognosis. From this whole set, a number of parameters with corresponding values ​​were selected as markers of coronary heart disease, which showed the highest incidence rate in the group of patients with adverse course (NBT) and the highest in the group of patients with favorable course (BT). the most pathognomonic predictors of IHD progression in patients with type 2 diabetes were systolic LV dysfunction (fv <40%), SBP> 160 mm Hg and/or DBP above 100 mm Hg. Art., severe angina pectoris, LVH and ECG signs of myocardial ischemia, persisting upon discharge from the hospital, history of ACVA comorbidity plus DM-2.
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2型糖尿病患者冠心病进展的数学模型问题
2017-2019年共检查2型糖尿病合并IHD患者40例(男16例,女24例),其中病程有利38例,病程不利8例。对于不利的情况,考虑到目前3年内中风、真菌性梗死(致命性和非致命性)、因慢性心力衰竭恶化(射血分数下降)而多次住院、多次手术干预(经皮冠状动脉介入治疗、冠状动脉旁路移植术)的存在。患者平均年龄65.5岁。总的来说,从患者到达的那一刻起的前三天记录的119个体征被分析为不良预后的可能预测因素。从这一集合中,选择了多个具有相应值的参数作为冠心病的标志物,其中不良病程组(NBT)的发病率最高,良好病程组(BT)的发病率最高。2型糖尿病患者IHD进展的最病理特征预测因子是收缩期左室功能障碍(血压160 mm Hg和/或舒张压高于100 mm Hg)。严重心绞痛、左室肥厚、心电图心肌缺血征像,出院后仍持续存在,有ACVA合并DM-2病史。
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