From Booking Data to Demand Knowledge Unconstraining Carsharing Demand

Cornelius Hardt, K. Bogenberger
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Abstract

Since the introduction of free-floating carsharing (FFCS), system optimization has always been a crucial point in operations. Especially knowledge about the usage of such systems allows for a better understanding, leading to maximized utilization and therefore revenue. In order to understand demand for FFCS services, most often rental data is utilized. However, utilizing such data yields systematic underreporting of demand, since lack of vehicles obstructs counting real demand. In this paper we present an unconstraining algorithm for FFCS system analysis, called Pois_d, that minimizes demand underreporting in rental data due to unavailability. Evaluation of this algorithm shows that it approximates actual demand, reduces underreporting by up to 70% compared to utilizing solely rental data, and reduces error measures by up to 26% as well. Applying Pois_d to real world data, the size of undetected potential in FFCS systems is illustrated. Therefore, the analysis of four areas from the business area of an FFCS provider is presented. Results reveal potential markups on pure rental data of up to 90%. Adjusting demand data for these systems with this algorithm can help to optimize operative measures like vehicle reallocation, adjustment of pricing systems, and planning of business areas.
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从预约数据到需求知识的无约束拼车需求
自自由浮动共享汽车(FFCS)推出以来,系统优化一直是运营的关键。特别是关于这些系统的使用的知识,可以更好地理解,从而最大限度地利用,从而获得收入。为了了解FFCS服务的需求,通常使用租金数据。然而,利用这些数据会导致系统性地少报需求,因为车辆的缺乏阻碍了对实际需求的统计。在本文中,我们提出了一种用于FFCS系统分析的无约束算法,称为Pois_d,它可以最大限度地减少由于不可获得而导致的租金数据中的需求漏报。对该算法的评估表明,与单独使用租赁数据相比,该算法接近实际需求,减少了高达70%的漏报,并将误差测量减少了高达26%。将Pois_d应用于真实世界的数据,说明了FFCS系统中未检测到的势的大小。因此,本文从FFCS提供商的业务领域分析了四个方面。结果显示,纯租赁数据的潜在利润率高达90%。利用该算法对这些系统的需求数据进行调整,有助于优化车辆再分配、定价系统调整和业务区域规划等操作措施。
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