Wind turbine power performance test methods based on least squares prediction

Zuoxia Xing, Yongxing Zhang, Jinsong Liu, Lichen Xue
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Abstract

Wind turbine power performance is an important process of type approval testing project. Because the period of power performance testing is long and it is difficult to collect complete data in a short time, the wind turbine power performance test methods based on least squares prediction is proposed. Firstly, this paper introduces the testing process, site calibration, uncertainty assessment and common data analysis methods of wind turbine power performance using the least square prediction to achieve linear regression and polynomial regression based on limited data. Then the comparative analysis results are carried out through full curve and predicted curve in the actual case to prove the effectiveness of this method in power performance prediction.
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基于最小二乘预测的风力机功率性能测试方法
风力发电机组的动力性能是型式审定试验项目的一个重要环节。针对风电机组功率性能测试周期长,短时间内难以收集到完整数据的问题,提出了基于最小二乘预测的风电机组功率性能测试方法。本文首先介绍了风力发电机组功率性能的测试过程、现场标定、不确定度评定及常用数据分析方法,利用最小二乘预测在有限数据基础上实现线性回归和多项式回归。并在实际案例中通过全曲线和预测曲线进行对比分析,验证了该方法在电力性能预测中的有效性。
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