The Research on Traffic Congestion Problem in Beijing Based on Random Effect Model

Zhipeng Zhang, Chujun Zhao
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Abstract

With the advancement of urbanization and the rapid development of the economy, the number of motor vehicles has also increased sharply, which has led to the increasingly heavy traffic congestion problem, especially in the international metropolis like Beijing. It is more serious, bringing economic loss and seriously affecting its further development. Therefore, it is of great importance to solve the problem in Beijing. In response to the above issue, despite the introduction and implementation of a series of measures in Beijing, it is still unable to properly solve the traffic congestion problem. Today, traffic congestion in Beijing still exists. This paper will mainly start from the causes of traffic congestion, and analyze the problems and phenomena based on the random effects model to obtain the reasons. According to the goal of relieving the traffic congestion problem, we will use the traffic supply and demand theory combined with the actual traffic situation, establish the traffic light model, the travel optimization model and the automobile demand curve model. With the hypothesis, simulation and analysis, we drew the corresponding conclusions. At the same time, the corresponding policy recommendations were put forward to relieve the traffic congestion problem in Beijing.
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基于随机效应模型的北京市交通拥堵问题研究
随着城市化进程的推进和经济的快速发展,机动车数量也急剧增加,导致交通拥堵问题日益严重,特别是在像北京这样的国际大都市。更严重的是,带来经济损失,严重影响其进一步发展。因此,解决北京的这个问题是非常重要的。针对上述问题,尽管北京出台并实施了一系列措施,但仍然无法妥善解决交通拥堵问题。今天,北京的交通拥堵仍然存在。本文将主要从交通拥堵的原因出发,基于随机效应模型对问题和现象进行分析,得出原因。根据缓解交通拥堵问题的目标,运用交通供需理论,结合实际交通情况,建立红绿灯模型、出行优化模型和汽车需求曲线模型。通过假设、仿真和分析,得出了相应的结论。同时,对缓解北京交通拥堵问题提出了相应的政策建议。
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