A Generalized Cascaded Approach to Estimate Missing Wind Data Using Multivariate Weibull Distribution Network

O. M. Salim, H. Dorrah, M. Hassan
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Abstract

Networked sensors in smart grids allow techniques like sensor fusion including: sensor similarities, as well as, sensor complementarities to be integrated to obtain new information or feature that is not measured directly. On the other hand, these techniques can be extended to get trusted readings at different correlated areas based on historical observations and their corresponding probabilistic distributions of sensors at these areas. In this paper a stochastic modelling of multivariate within the platform of cyber-physical systems has been discussed. A proposed multivariate Weibull distribution (WD) modeling is adopted to predict wind speed (WS) at a certain site given data at other correlated place(s). The proposed methodology has been implemented on some cases of study to illustrate the effectiveness of the adopted technique using bivariate or trivariate models. It has been revealed that the same methodology could be extended to any multivariate WD for any stochastic modeling problem. In this paper a comparison between the proposed trivariate, and bivariate Weibull is established to show their efficiency on estimating WS at a location that has a faulty sensor, that fails to deliver its data.
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基于多元威布尔分布网络估计缺失风数据的广义级联方法
智能电网中的联网传感器允许传感器融合等技术,包括:传感器相似性,以及传感器互补性,以获得不能直接测量的新信息或特征。另一方面,这些技术可以扩展到基于历史观测和这些区域的传感器相应概率分布的不同相关区域的可信读数。本文讨论了网络物理系统平台内的多变量随机建模问题。提出了一种多元威布尔分布(WD)模型,在给定其他相关地点的数据的情况下,对某一地点的风速进行预测。所提出的方法已在一些研究案例中实施,以说明使用二元或三元模型所采用的技术的有效性。它已经揭示了相同的方法可以扩展到任何多元WD的任何随机建模问题。本文建立了三变量威布尔和二元威布尔之间的比较,以显示它们在具有故障传感器的位置估计WS的效率,该传感器无法传递其数据。
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