Estimating Systematic and Partial Exchange Rate Exposures: The Case of Japanese Firms

Jae H. Kim, Y. Kitamura
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Abstract

We decompose exchange rate exposure into systematic and partial parts. The former is the product of the exposure of the market portfolio and a firm’s market beta, reflecting the risk of the exchange rate to a macroeconomy. The latter is the residual one that most previous studies have examined. Using Japanese data, we find that Japanese firms are systematically exposed to the exchange rate from the beginning of 2000. We also highlight the timely yen-selling intervention by the Bank of Japan when the firms are systematically exposed. However, we find that, even when most Japanese firms are significantly exposed to the exchange rate, the partial exposure can seriously underestimate the full extent of the exchange rate exposure.
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估计系统性和部分汇率风险:以日本企业为例
我们将汇率暴露分解为系统的和局部的两个部分。前者是市场投资组合的风险敞口和公司的市场贝塔的乘积,反映了汇率对宏观经济的风险。后者是大多数以前的研究已经检验过的残余部分。利用日本的数据,我们发现日本企业从2000年初开始就系统性地受到汇率的影响。我们还强调,当这些公司面临系统性风险时,日本央行(Bank of Japan)及时出手干预。然而,我们发现,即使大多数日本企业显著暴露于汇率,部分暴露可能严重低估了汇率暴露的全部程度。
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