Application of a demand forecasting model in a rental company of billiard tables

Ramon Gomes da Silva, Alef Berg de Oliveira, I. D. Silva, Thulio de Oliveria Farias
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The paper presents a clear and objective calculous of demand forecasting for a manufacturing company and rental billiard tables. To this finality, we defined some important concepts in the area. Which were the basis for the development of the methodology applied. It was also necessary to describe a bit about the history and current situation of the company, considering its particularities, which are important for choosing the right model, and comment on the need for such a study be applied in the same context. Made several calculations with different forecast models, with detailed analysis of each model to investigate the mean absolute errors, the end to be chosen only one, which is the ideal situation for the company, on the other words, is in accordance with the provision of data transferred to the staff. Still it was necessary to calculate an average inventory of security that will decide whether the chosen model is actually the most appropriate. And finally calculating demand forecast for the next period.
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需求预测模型在台球桌租赁公司中的应用
本文提出了一种清晰客观的台球桌租赁需求预测计算方法。为此,我们定义了该领域的一些重要概念。它们是发展所应用的方法的基础。也有必要描述一下公司的历史和现状,考虑到它的特殊性,这对选择正确的模型很重要,并评论在同一背景下应用这种研究的必要性。用不同的预测模型进行了多次计算,并详细分析了每个模型的平均绝对误差,最后只选择了一个,这是公司的理想情况,换句话说,是按照提供的数据传递给员工的。仍然有必要计算安全性的平均库存,以决定所选模型是否实际上是最合适的。最后计算下一时期的需求预测。
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