Using Interval Constraint Solving Techniques to better understand and predict future behaviors of dynamic problems

L. Valera, M. Ceberio
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Abstract

The ability to make observations of natural phenomena has played a fundamental role in our world. From what we observe, models are derived and we can get an understanding about how things work by simulating our models. This has been particularly important in areas such as medicine, physics, chemistry. However, when we do not initiate simulations but that we are simply observing a phenomenon, it is valuable to be able to understand it “on the fly” and be able to predict its future behavior. Added challenges come from the fact that observations are never 100% accurate and therefore we must deal with uncertainty. In this work, we use Interval Constraint Solving Techniques (ICST) to handle uncertainty in the observations of a given phenomenon, and to be able to determine its initial conditions and unfold the dynamic behavior further in time.
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利用区间约束求解技术更好地理解和预测动态问题的未来行为
观察自然现象的能力在我们的世界中起着至关重要的作用。从我们观察到的,模型被推导出来,我们可以通过模拟我们的模型来理解事物是如何工作的。这在医学、物理、化学等领域尤为重要。然而,当我们不启动模拟,而只是观察一种现象时,能够“在飞行中”理解它并能够预测它的未来行为是有价值的。更多的挑战来自于这样一个事实:观测从来都不是100%准确的,因此我们必须应对不确定性。在这项工作中,我们使用区间约束求解技术(ICST)来处理给定现象观测中的不确定性,并能够确定其初始条件并在时间上进一步展开动态行为。
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