A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC PLANNING OF CONSUMER ELECTRONICS INDUSTRY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: THE CASE OF THE TELEVISION MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IN EGYPT

M. Negmeldin, M. Heshmat, A. Eltawil
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Abstract

In this paper, a system dynamics approach is introduced for the macro- planning of the selection of new product families in the consumer electronics industry in developing countries. A decision methodology structure is built that includes the impact factors of rapid technology changes and uncertainty. System dynamics models are designed to select the product family’s planning strategy, considering the different variables in marketing, product design, supply chain, and manufacturing method. The developed model is validated for a real case study of television manufacturing in Egypt. The results reveal that using system dynamics reflects the dynamics of the consumer electronics industry and can be used for its strategic planning.
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发展中国家消费电子工业战略规划的系统动力学方法:以埃及电视制造业为例
本文将系统动力学方法引入到发展中国家消费电子行业新产品族选择的宏观规划中。构建了包含快速技术变化和不确定性影响因素的决策方法结构。系统动力学模型是用来选择产品族的规划策略,考虑不同的变量在市场营销,产品设计,供应链和制造方法。通过对埃及电视机生产的实际案例研究,验证了所建立的模型的有效性。结果表明,系统动力学反映了消费电子行业的动态,可以用于其战略规划。
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