Research on the Network Evolution of Rainstorm Disaster Chains

Shuangyan Wu, Yingbo Ji, Yuan Qi
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

To figure out the logical causal relationship between rainstorm disaster and its secondary and derivative disaster events, the statistical rainstorm disaster data in Zibo City in recent ten years and the extraordinary rainstorm disaster records throughout China in recent 20 years were used as the case data in this study. Next, the rainstorm disaster chain was extracted through the event tree analysis method. In the end, the rainstorm disaster evolution network was constructed via Pajek software. Thereby, the causal relationship between rainstorm disaster and its secondary and derivative disaster events was clarified greatly, thus providing theoretical guidance for the chain-cutting alleviation of rainstorm-derived disasters.
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暴雨灾害链网络演化研究
为了找出暴雨灾害与其次生和衍生灾害事件之间的逻辑因果关系,本研究以淄博市近十年暴雨灾害统计数据和近20年来全国特大暴雨灾害记录作为案例数据。其次,通过事件树分析法提取暴雨灾害链。最后利用Pajek软件构建暴雨灾害演化网络。从而在很大程度上厘清了暴雨灾害与其次生和衍生灾害事件之间的因果关系,为暴雨衍生灾害的断链减灾提供了理论指导。
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