Prediction Capabilities for Cyber Physical Vehicles

L. Varga
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Abstract

Cyber physical systems open new ground in the automotive domain. Autonomous vehicles will try to adapt to the changing environment, and decentralized adaptation is a new type of issue that needs to be studied. This article investigates the effects of adaptive route planning when real-time online traffic information is exploited. Simulation results show that if the agents selfishly optimize their actions, then in some situations, the cyber physical system may fluctuate and sometimes the agents may be worse off with real-time data than without real-time data. The proposed solution to this problem is to use anticipatory techniques, where the future state of the environment is predicted from the intentions of the agents. This article concludes with this conjecture: if simultaneous decision-making is prevented, then intention-aware prediction can limit the fluctuation and help the cyber physical system converge to the Nash equilibrium, assuming that the incoming traffic can be predicted.
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网络物理车辆的预测能力
网络物理系统在汽车领域开辟了新的领域。自动驾驶汽车将努力适应不断变化的环境,而分散适应是一个需要研究的新型问题。本文研究了当实时在线交通信息被利用时,自适应路线规划的效果。仿真结果表明,如果智能体自私地优化自己的行为,那么在某些情况下,网络物理系统可能会出现波动,有时智能体在有实时数据的情况下会比没有实时数据的情况更糟糕。针对这个问题提出的解决方案是使用预期技术,在这种技术中,环境的未来状态是通过代理的意图来预测的。本文的结论是这样一个猜想:如果同时决策被阻止,那么在假设传入流量可以预测的情况下,意图感知预测可以限制波动,帮助网络物理系统收敛到纳什均衡。
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