Improving Air Pollution Forecasting in Smart Cities using Clustering Techniques

M. Muntean
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Abstract

Air quality is a main concern for smart cities policies nowadays. This paper presents an approach for predicting Particulate Matter (PM) for air pollution using partitioning clustering techniques. Instead of predicting PM10 values for the entire dataset, better results were obtained when forecasting air pollution values for each discovered cluster. In the clustering stage, the k-means algorithm was applied, and four clusters were discovered. It could be noticed that two clusters corresponded to normal PM10 values, having the centroid values equal to 16, respectively 1, and the other two clusters stored high rates of pollution (with centroid values equal to 53, respectively 34). The forecasting results were more accurate when learning a cluster at a time with a specific classifier. After this step, several forecasting models were applied for each obtained cluster, and a conclusion that K-Nearest Neighbors and Neural Networks models had best performance in predicting the PM10 values is finally made.
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利用聚类技术改进智慧城市空气污染预测
空气质量是当今智慧城市政策关注的主要问题。本文提出了一种利用分区聚类技术预测大气污染颗粒物(PM)的方法。与预测整个数据集的PM10值相比,预测每个发现的集群的空气污染值获得了更好的结果。在聚类阶段,采用k-means算法,发现了4个聚类。可以注意到,两个集群对应于正常的PM10值,质心值等于16,分别为1,另外两个集群存储高污染率(质心值等于53,分别为34)。当使用特定的分类器一次学习一个簇时,预测结果更加准确。在此步骤之后,对每个获得的聚类应用多个预测模型,最终得出k近邻模型和神经网络模型对PM10预测效果最好的结论。
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