Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Annual Precipitation in Chengdu

Zhang Yi, Shangchang Ma, Panpan Zhao
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Abstract

At present, meteorologists have studied the laws of climate change throughout China and applied the results to many meteorological fields. The Chengdu area is located on the border of the northwestern plateau of Sichuan and the Sichuan Basin. The climate and environment are diverse. In order to understand the temporal and spatial characteristics of the precipitation field in Chengdu, and to predict the development trend of precipitation in Chengdu in a short time, this article uses 44a hourly precipitation data of 12 ground stations in Chengdu as reference materials. The two-dimensional interpolation method is used to fill in the missing data. The empirical orthogonal function analysis method is used to study the spatial distribution of precipitation fields, and the changing trend of precipitation in Chengdu area in 44a is analyzed by moving average. The results show that there are two main spatial types of annual precipitation in Chengdu. First, the changes in precipitation in Chengdu are highly consistent, that is, the city is either rainy or drizzle throughout the year. Second, the change pattern of precipitation in the northwest and southeast regions of Chengdu is opposite, that is, there is more rainfall in the northwest region and less rainfall in the southeast region, or less rainfall in the northwest region and more rainfall in the southeast region. It can be obtained from the time coefficient that the number of years of the modal one distribution model accounts for 54.5% of the total years, which is consistent with the cumulative variance contribution rate of the modal one, which can explain that the modal one is the main spatial type of precipitation field in Chengdu. The annual precipitation in Chengdu is generally decreasing.
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成都市年降水时空分布特征
目前,气象学家已经研究了中国各地的气候变化规律,并将研究结果应用于许多气象领域。成都地区位于四川西北高原和四川盆地的交界处。气候和环境是多样的。为了了解成都降水场的时空特征,预测成都短时间内降水的发展趋势,本文以成都12个地面站44a逐时降水数据为参考资料。采用二维插值法对缺失数据进行填充。采用经验正交函数分析方法研究了降水场的空间分布,并采用移动平均分析了成都地区44a降水的变化趋势。结果表明,成都市年降水主要存在两种空间类型。首先,成都的降水变化具有高度的一致性,即该城市全年不是多雨就是毛毛雨。其次,成都西北与东南地区降水变化格局相反,即西北地区降雨多,东南地区降雨少,或西北地区降雨少,东南地区降雨多。由时间系数可知,模态1分布模式的年数占总年数的54.5%,这与模态1的累积方差贡献率一致,说明模态1是成都降水场的主要空间类型。成都年降水量总体呈减少趋势。
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