Sumatra Land Surface Temperature Increase

M. Munawar, Tofan Agung Eka Prasetya, R. McNeil, R. Jani
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Abstract

Climate change in Sumatra island is likely a result of widespread land-use changes by the plantation industry. This study aims to investigate trends in land surface temperatures in Sumatra island. Land surface temperatures from 20012020 were downloaded from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer Terra satellite and divided into 5 regions and 45 sub-regions spread equally across the island. The statistical method that used to analyzed the data was cubic spline and multiple regression. The seasonal pattern and variation in the land surface temperature were examined using a cubic spline method and the seasonally adjusted land surface temperature was analyzed using a multiple regression model. On average, the land surface temperature on Sumatra island significantly increased over the ten years by 0.076C with a 95% confidence interval of [0.010, 0.141]C.
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苏门答腊岛地表温度升高
苏门答腊岛的气候变化很可能是种植业广泛改变土地利用的结果。这项研究的目的是调查苏门答腊岛陆地表面温度的趋势。从美国国家航空航天局中分辨率成像光谱辐射计Terra卫星下载了2001 - 2020年的地表温度,并将其分为5个区域和45个次区域,均匀分布在岛上。数据分析采用三次样条和多元回归的统计方法。采用三次样条法分析地表温度的季节变化特征,采用多元回归模型分析经季节调整后的地表温度。平均而言,苏门答腊岛的地表温度在10年内显著升高了0.076C, 95%可信区间为[0.010,0.141]C。
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