A COMPARATIVE ASSESSMENT OF MACHINE LEARNING MODELS FOR PREDICTING WIND SPEED

Faeze Gholamrezaie, A. Hosseini, N. Ismayilova
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Abstract

Renewable energy is one of the most critical issues of continuously increasing electricity consumption which is becoming a desirable alternative to traditional methods of electricity generation such as coal or fossil fuels. This study aimed to develop, evaluate, and compare the performance of Linear multiple regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), Bagging and random forest (R.F.), and decision tree (CART) models in predicting wind speed in Southeastern Iran. The data used in this research is related to the statistics of 10 minutes of wind speed in 10-meter, 30-meter, and 40-meter wind turbines, the standard deviation of wind speed, air temperature, humidity, and amount of the Sun's radiation. The bagging and random forest model with an RMSE error of 0.0086 perform better than others in this dataset, while the MLR model with an RMSE error of 0.0407 has the worst.
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预测风速的机器学习模型的比较评估
可再生能源是不断增加电力消耗的最关键问题之一,它正在成为传统发电方法(如煤或化石燃料)的理想替代品。本研究旨在开发、评估和比较线性多元回归(MLR)、支持向量回归(SVR)、Bagging and random forest (R.F.)和决策树(CART)模型在预测伊朗东南部风速方面的性能。本研究使用的数据与10米、30米、40米风力机10分钟风速统计、风速标准差、空气温度、湿度、太阳辐射量有关。套袋模型和随机森林模型在该数据集中表现较好,RMSE误差为0.0086,MLR模型表现最差,RMSE误差为0.0407。
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