Modeling the Determinants of Residential Appliance Electricity Use Single-Family Homes, Homes with Electric Vehicles and Apartments

M. Jafary, L. Shephard
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This study provides a data mining-based methodology for setting decision-making rules to identify determinants of appliance electricity consumption based on four years of data from 800 single-family homes and apartments in Austin, Texas. These data were collected from single-family homes (i.e., reference case), single-family homes that owned electric vehicles (EV) and apartments containing multiple families. Cluster analysis was performed to group homes based on their calculated average hourly appliance electricity use, resident building attributes, and socioeconomic characteristics of building residents. Results of regression analysis indicate that variables from all three building types are significantly correlated to appliance electricity consumption. Residents of reference homes and single-family homes with EV tend to spend more time at homes, resulting in higher appliance consumption. Residents that own EVs generally attain a higher education level but do not necessarily having a lower consumption of appliances. Residents with higher income tend to have higher electricity consumption. The results of the analysis can provide new insights and tools for policymakers governing community development and for the utility sector as they seek to deploy new programs to optimize electricity use with existing generation capacity and enhance customer service in response to the growing demand for distributed generation in communities across America.
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单户住宅、电动汽车住宅和公寓的家用电器用电决定因素建模
本研究提供了一种基于数据挖掘的方法来制定决策规则,以确定电器耗电量的决定因素,该方法基于德克萨斯州奥斯汀市800个单户住宅和公寓的四年数据。这些数据是从单户住宅(即参考案例)、拥有电动汽车(EV)的单户住宅和包含多户家庭的公寓中收集的。基于计算的平均小时电器用电量、住宅建筑属性和建筑居民的社会经济特征,对集体之家进行聚类分析。回归分析结果表明,三种建筑类型的变量均与家电用电量显著相关。参考住宅和拥有电动汽车的独户住宅的居民倾向于在家中花费更多的时间,从而导致更高的家电消费。拥有电动汽车的居民普遍具有较高的教育水平,但并不一定具有较低的家电消费量。收入越高的居民用电量越高。分析结果可以为管理社区发展和公用事业部门的政策制定者提供新的见解和工具,因为他们寻求部署新的计划,以优化现有发电能力的电力使用,并加强客户服务,以响应美国各地社区对分布式发电日益增长的需求。
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