Short-Term Prediction of Generated Power from Small Roof Photovoltaic Power Plant

M. Radvanský
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Abstract

In recent years, a significant increase in smart home installations can be observed. These installations provide their users with high comfort and make life easier in almost all everyday activities. Users of these systems also expect a reduction in energy costs. The optimal use of photovoltaic rooftop power plants in these systems is therefore essential. This work deals with a short-term prediction of the generated power of a rooftop photovoltaic power plant. The data set of the generated energy for five years obtained from a specific rooftop photovoltaic power plant was used for the prediction process. The prediction model is based on Formal Concept Analysis as a cluster analysis method, and the prediction itself is then performed by traversing the concept lattice.
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小型屋顶光伏电站短期发电量预测
近年来,智能家居的安装数量显著增加。这些装置为用户提供了高度的舒适性,使他们在几乎所有的日常活动中都生活得更轻松。这些系统的用户还期望降低能源成本。因此,在这些系统中,光伏屋顶发电厂的最佳使用是必不可少的。本工作涉及屋顶光伏电站发电功率的短期预测。预测过程采用某屋顶光伏电站5年发电量数据集。该预测模型基于形式概念分析作为聚类分析方法,然后通过遍历概念格来进行预测。
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