Efficiency in Agricultural Spice Commodities Futures Markets in India

Velmurugan Palaniappan Shanmugam, Raghavendra R. H. Raghu, S. A.
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Abstract

This paper is to analyze the efficiency of agricultural spices commodity markets by assessing the relationships between futures prices and spot market prices of major agricultural spices commodities in India during the sample period of January 2010 through December 2014. The econometric tools like Unit root tests, Johansen co-integration test, and Pairwise Granger Causality tests were employed in the study. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests and Phillips-Perron tests employed in the study proved that both the selected metals markets were stationary series, Johansen co-integration test proved selected metals spot and future markets are co-integrating each other and the Granger Causality test proved uni-causality relationships among these markets between spot and future market return series during the study period.
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印度农业香料商品期货市场的效率
本文通过评估2010年1月至2014年12月印度主要农用香料商品期货价格与现货市场价格的关系,分析农用香料商品市场的效率。本研究采用单位根检验、约翰森协整检验、两两格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学工具。本研究采用的增广Dickey-Fuller检验和Phillips-Perron检验证明所选金属市场均为平稳序列,johnson协整检验证明所选金属现货市场与未来市场互为协整,Granger因果检验证明研究期间现货市场与未来市场收益序列之间存在单因果关系。
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