Sovereign to Corporate Risk Spillovers

Patrick Augustin, Hamid Boustanifar, J. Breckenfelder, Jan Schnitzler
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引用次数: 62

Abstract

The first Greek bailout on April 11, 2010 triggered a significant reevaluation of sovereign credit risk across Europe. We exploit this event to examine the transmission of sovereign to corporate credit risk. A ten percent increase in sovereign credit risk raises corporate credit risk on average by 1.1 percent after the bailout. The evidence is suggestive of risk spillovers from sovereign to corporate credit risk through a financial and a fiscal channel, as the effects are more pronounced for firms that are bank or government dependent. We find no support for indirect risk transmission through a deterioration of macroeconomic fundamentals. JEL Classification: F34, F36, G15, H81, G12
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主权对企业风险的溢出效应
2010年4月11日对希腊的第一次救助引发了对整个欧洲主权信用风险的重大重新评估。我们利用这一事件来检验主权信用风险向企业信用风险的传导。国家信用风险每增加10%,企业信用风险就会平均增加1.1%。证据表明,风险会通过金融和财政渠道从主权信用风险向企业信用风险溢出,因为对依赖银行或政府的企业的影响更为明显。我们没有发现通过宏观经济基本面恶化来间接传导风险的证据。JEL分类:F34、F36、G15、H81、G12
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