Optimal energy management of hybrid power system with two-scale dynamic programming

Lei Zhang, Yaoyu Li
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Hybrid power system (HPS) is the power system consists of renewable energy sources and traditional energy sources used together to increase system efficiency and reduce operation cost. Energy management is one of the main issues in operating the HPS, which needs to be optimized with respect to the current and future change in generation, demand, and market price, particularly for HPS with strong renewable penetration. Optimal energy management strategies such as dynamic programming (DP) may become significantly suboptimal under strong uncertainty in prediction of renewable generation and utility price. In order to reduce the impact of such uncertainties, a two-scale dynamic programming scheme is proposed in this study to optimize the operational benefit based on multi-scale prediction. The proposed idea is illustrated with a simple HPS which consists of wind turbine and battery storage with grid connection. The system is expected to satisfy certain load demand while minimizing the cost via peak-load shaving. First, a macro-scale dynamic programming (MASDP) is performed for the long term period, based on long term ahead prediction of hourly electricity price and wind energy (speed). The battery state-of-charge (SOC) is thus obtained as the macro-scale reference trajectory. The micro-scale dynamic programming (MISDP) is then applied with a short term interval, based on short term-hour ahead auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) prediction of hourly electricity price and wind energy. The nodal SOC values from the MASDP result are used as the terminal condition for the MISDP. The simulation results show that the proposed method can significantly decrease the operation cost, as compared with the single scale DP method.
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基于双尺度动态规划的混合动力系统最优能量管理
混合电力系统是将可再生能源与传统能源结合使用,以提高系统效率、降低运行成本的电力系统。能源管理是HPS运营的主要问题之一,需要根据当前和未来的发电、需求和市场价格的变化进行优化,特别是对于具有强大可再生能源渗透的HPS。动态规划(DP)等最优能源管理策略在可再生能源发电和公用事业价格预测存在较大不确定性的情况下,可能会出现明显的次优问题。为了减少这种不确定性的影响,本文提出了一种基于多尺度预测的双尺度动态规划方案来优化运营效益。以一个简单的HPS系统为例,该系统由风力涡轮机和电网连接的电池存储组成。该系统期望在满足一定负荷需求的同时,通过调峰使成本最小化。首先,基于小时电价和风能(速度)的长期预测,进行了长期的宏观动态规划(MASDP)。从而得到电池荷电状态(SOC)作为宏观尺度的参考轨迹。基于小时电价和风能的短小时前自回归移动平均(ARMA)预测,在短期区间内应用微尺度动态规划(MISDP)。来自MASDP结果的节点SOC值被用作MISDP的终端条件。仿真结果表明,与单尺度DP方法相比,该方法可以显著降低操作成本。
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