Fractional order COVID 19 pandemic model in Morocco: Dynamical analysis and Numerical simulation

M. Gouda, A. Elsayed, I. Hanafy, A. Arafa
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Abstract

In this paper, we introduce fractional order COVID-19 model in Morocco. We analyse the presented model by calculating reproductive ratio ,finding free disease equilibrium point and studying local and global stability of free disease equilibrium point to show the advantages of fractional order model ,we simulate model by using (PECE) method for fractional order and compare our results to clinical data which obtained from morocco cases from 18 march 2020 to 5 April 2020 . From presented figures, we can easily see that data from fractional order is better than data obtained by integer order model according to the comparison with clinical data
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摩洛哥分数阶COVID - 19大流行模型:动力学分析和数值模拟
本文在摩洛哥引入分数阶COVID-19模型。我们通过计算繁殖比、寻找自由疾病平衡点以及研究自由疾病平衡点的局部和全局稳定性来分析所提出的模型,以显示分数阶模型的优势,我们使用分数阶(PECE)方法对模型进行模拟,并将我们的结果与2020年3月18日至2020年4月5日摩洛哥病例的临床数据进行比较。从图中可以看出,通过与临床数据的比较,分数阶模型的数据要优于整数阶模型的数据
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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