Expected Transport Accessibility Improvement and House Prices: Evidence from the Construction of the World’s Longest Undersea Road Tunnel

Mikula Štěpán, Molnár Péter
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of expected transport accessibility improvement on house prices. We identify the effect exploiting a quasi-natural experiment created by the approval and construction of the Ryfast tunnel system in Rogaland, Norway, which shortened the travelling time to the affected municipality from 62 to 24 minutes. Estimates of a repeated sales model in a difference-indifferences framework show that the expectation of improvement in transport accessibility connected with the construction of the tunnel system led to an increase in house prices by 10.1–12.8% on average. That effect grew as the opening of the tunnel drew closer and was driven by less valuable houses.
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预期交通可达性改善与房价:来自世界最长海底公路隧道建设的证据
本文研究了交通可达性预期改善对房价的影响。我们利用准自然实验来确定效果,该实验是由挪威罗加兰的Ryfast隧道系统的批准和建设创造的,该系统将到受影响城市的旅行时间从62分钟缩短到24分钟。在差异-无差异框架下的重复销售模型估计表明,与隧道系统建设相关的交通可达性改善的预期导致房价平均上涨10.1-12.8%。随着隧道的开通越来越近,以及价值较低的房屋的推动,这种影响越来越大。
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