Design of an Optimal Frequency Reward Program in the Face of Competition

Arpit Goel, Nolan Skochdopole
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Abstract

We optimize the design of a frequency reward program against traditional pricing in a competitive duopoly, where customers measure their utilities in rational economic terms. We assume two kinds of customers: myopic and strategic [19]. Every customer has a prior loyalty bias [6] toward the reward program merchant, a parameter drawn from a known distribution, indicating an additional probability of choosing the reward program merchant over the traditional pricing merchant. Under this model, we characterize the customer behavior: the loyalty bias increases the switching costs [11] of strategic customers until a tipping point, after which they strictly prefer and adopt the reward program merchant. Subsequently, we optimize the reward parameters to maximize the revenue objective of the reward program merchant. We show that under mild assumptions, the optimal parameters for the reward program design to maximize the revenue objective correspond exactly to minimizing the tipping point of customers and are independent of the customer population parameters. Moreover, we characterize the conditions for the reward program to be better when the loyalty bias distribution is uniform - a minimum fraction of population needs to be strategic, and the loyalty bias needs to be in an optimal range. If the bias is high, the reward program creates loss in revenues, as customers effectively gain rewards for “free”, whereas a low value of bias leads to loss in market share to the competing merchant. In short, if a merchant can estimate the customer population parameters, our framework and results provide theoretical guarantees on the pros and cons of running a reward program against traditional pricing.
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面对竞争的最优频率奖励方案设计
我们优化了频率奖励计划的设计,以对抗竞争性双寡头垄断中的传统定价,其中客户以理性的经济条件衡量他们的效用。我们假设两类客户:短视客户和战略客户[19]。每个顾客对奖励计划商家都有一个先验的忠诚偏差[6],这是一个从已知分布中得出的参数,表明选择奖励计划商家比选择传统定价商家的可能性更大。在该模型下,我们对顾客行为进行了表征:忠诚偏差增加了战略顾客的转换成本[11],直到达到临界点,之后他们才会严格选择并采用奖励计划商家。随后,我们对奖励参数进行优化,使奖励计划商家的收益目标最大化。研究表明,在温和的假设条件下,实现收益目标最大化的奖励方案设计的最优参数正好对应于最小化客户临界点,并且与客户群体参数无关。此外,我们描述了忠诚偏差分布均匀时奖励计划更好的条件-最小比例的人口需要是战略性的,忠诚偏差需要在最佳范围内。如果偏差值高,奖励计划就会造成收入损失,因为顾客会因为“免费”而有效地获得奖励,而偏差值低则会导致竞争商家失去市场份额。简而言之,如果商家能够估算出顾客数量参数,那么我们的框架和结果就可以提供理论上的保证,说明与传统定价相比,运行奖励计划的利弊。
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