Short-term Power Load Forecasting based on Feature Fusion of Parallel LSTM-CNN

Cheng Li, Rong Hu, Chih-Yu Hsu, Yu Han
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Accurate power load forecasting is beneficial to grid scheduling and operation. In order to fully exploit the potential relationship between load and feature. This research suggests a short-term power load forecasting strategy based on feature fusion to increase prediction accuracy, which combines parallel LSTM and CNN. The model first determines the optimal features of the model input through the random forest method and mutual information method, then classifies the features, and inputs the classified categories into the parallel LSTM modules respectively, and then uses the CNN network to output the neural network of different LSTM modules at the same time. The elements are convolved to extract the features of each moment, finally get the prediction result through the fully connected layer. The results of two short-term power load forecasting cases show that the proposed method's prediction effect outclasses existing methods. with model evaluation parameter MAPE of 1.367% and 0.974% respectively.
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基于并行LSTM-CNN特征融合的短期电力负荷预测
准确的电力负荷预测有利于电网调度和运行。以充分挖掘载荷与特征之间的潜在关系。本研究提出了一种基于特征融合的短期电力负荷预测策略,该策略将并行LSTM与CNN相结合,以提高预测精度。该模型首先通过随机森林法和互信息法确定模型输入的最优特征,然后对特征进行分类,并将分类后的类别分别输入到并行LSTM模块中,然后使用CNN网络同时输出不同LSTM模块的神经网络。对元素进行卷积提取各矩的特征,最后通过全连通层得到预测结果。两个短期电力负荷预测实例的结果表明,该方法的预测效果优于现有方法。模型评价参数MAPE分别为1.367%和0.974%。
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